Christopher Waller speaks at Reuters NEXT Newsmaker

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook?

Held

Thu, Sep 3

8:30 AM ET /

Waller

Interview

Also now JD Vance Trump +1 later

12 said 5 not said of 17 words

Not held 0 of 4 past Waller events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Waller events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore77¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
YES Before startBefore16¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore22¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/4 50% Interviews— Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All0/3 0% Interviews— N N N
NO Before startBefore83¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore84¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore4¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
YES Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore8¢ All— Interviews— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Waller events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If Christopher Waller says {word} as part of Economic Outlook At the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Economic Outlook At the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Economic Outlook At the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Christopher Waller speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

No cases for this series yet. Case library