Kevin Warsh delivers Jackson Hole remarks

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?

Held

Fri, Aug 28

8:00 AM ET /

Kevin Warsh

Speech / announcement

Also now +3 later

7 said 21 not said of 28 words

Not held 0 of 3 past Kevin Warsh events, 0 of 1 speech / announcement

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Kevin Warsh events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore46¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n Y N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore67¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements— N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Kevin Warsh events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Kevin Warsh must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Kevin Warsh must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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