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Kevin Warsh holds ECB discussion

What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?

Held

Wed, Jul 1

9:00 AM ET /

Kevin Warsh

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +2 later

4 said 11 not said of 15 words

Not held 0 of 1 past Kevin Warsh event

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Kevin Warsh events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore31¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore35¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
YES Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements— N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements— Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Kevin Warsh events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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