Kevin Warsh delivers the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report

What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?

Held

Tue, Jul 14

10:00 AM ET /

Kevin Warsh

Other

Also now JD Vance +2 later

7 said 13 not said of 20 words

Not held 0 of 2 past Kevin Warsh events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Kevin Warsh events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore87¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore22¢ All0/2 0% N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore51¢ All0/2 0% N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/2 50% N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore43¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore54¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/2 0% N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/2 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Kevin Warsh events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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