mentions

ABC World News Tonight

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Held

Tue, Jul 14

6:30 PM ET /

ABC World News

Newscast

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Also now Trump +1 later

9 said 5 not said of 14 words

Not held 0 of 5 past ABC World News shows

Choose events
Word Result Before start All ABC World News shows Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore23¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All1/3 33% N Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore44¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All2/4 50% Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore41¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All3/5 60% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore46¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All0/3 0% N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past ABC World News shows where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past shows.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • The event will resolve based on any reporter speaking in an official capacity.
  • If any reporter is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If any reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on any reporter speaking in an official capacity. If any reporter is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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