Case library

A case is a settled market worth learning from: what was said, how Kalshi settled it and the rule behind the result. The results come from Kalshi’s data. The reasons come from public sources or from traders’ reports; each case says which.

  • Confirmed the result is in Kalshi’s data and a public source confirms the reason.
  • Outcome only the result is in Kalshi’s data; the reason comes from traders’ reports and no public source confirms it.
  • Rule text no dispute: a clause of the rules worth knowing.

1 case

The date in a ticker is a deadline, not the event date

Mar 25, 2026 Confirmed Press Secretary, Other speakers

Events White House Press Briefing, KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07

KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAR31 covered the next White House press briefing, which was held on Mar 25, 2026; its markets settled that day, six days before the date in the ticker. KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07 covered the first livestream on Governor Hochul’s YouTube channel after Feb 23 and settled on Feb 26, more than a week before its ticker date. In both, the rules, not the title or the ticker, said which appearance counts.

Takeaway Read the event definition and trade the first appearance that fits it; the ticker date only marks the latest one.

Rule in force the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) event rules of Mar 25, 2026

Dates and deadlines