mentions

Case library

A case is a settled market worth learning from: what was said, how Kalshi settled it and the rule behind the result. The results come from Kalshi’s data. The reasons come from public sources or from traders’ reports; each case says which.

  • Confirmed the result is in Kalshi’s data and a public source confirms the reason.
  • Outcome only the result is in Kalshi’s data; the reason comes from traders’ reports and no public source confirms it.
  • Rule text no dispute: a clause of the rules worth knowing.
All topics 13 Plural and possessive 1 Slash alternatives 1 Compounds 1 Other word forms 3 Numbers 1 Recordings and clips 2 What part counts 4 Events that do not qualify 2 Dates and deadlines 2 Sources and rule changes 1
All speakers 2 Trump 1 Press Secretary 1 JD Vance 0 Zohran Mamdani 0 Bernie Sanders 0 Other speakers 1

2 cases

“Next White House livestream” meant the first stream on one channel after a set time

Aug 17, 2026 Confirmed Trump

Events Trump greets Lifeguard Ryder Williams, Trump delivers remarks in New York

Words Iran (3+ times), Hormuz

Trump greets Lifeguard Ryder Williams

Trump delivers remarks in New York

The event covered the first livestream on the White House YouTube channel after 10:35 pm ET on Aug 12, 2026, leaving out Trump’s remarks in Nassau County, which Kalshi listed as a separate event. By Kalshi’s own schedule the qualifying stream came on Aug 17, an Oval Office greeting, and the markets settled that afternoon. “Iran (3+ times)” settled YES; “Hormuz” settled NO, and in the official transcript of that greeting only reporters say it.

Takeaway For a “next livestream” event, watch the named channel from the stated time; a carved-out event settles only its own markets. Words in reporters’ questions do not count.

Rule in force first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 12th, 2026 event rules of Aug 17, 2026

Dates and deadlines What part counts Sources and rule changes

The date in a ticker is a deadline, not the event date

Mar 25, 2026 Confirmed Press Secretary, Other speakers

Events White House Press Briefing, KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07

KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAR31 covered the next White House press briefing, which was held on Mar 25, 2026; its markets settled that day, six days before the date in the ticker. KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07 covered the first livestream on Governor Hochul’s YouTube channel after Feb 23 and settled on Feb 26, more than a week before its ticker date. In both, the rules, not the title or the ticker, said which appearance counts.

Takeaway Read the event definition and trade the first appearance that fits it; the ticker date only marks the latest one.

Rule in force the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) event rules of Mar 25, 2026

Dates and deadlines