mentions

Bernie joins All in with Chris Hayes

What will Bernie say during All in with Chris Hayes?

Held

Mon, Aug 3

8:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Interview

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Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

7 said 11 not said of 18 words

Not held 1 of 35 past Bernie Sanders events, 0 of 10 interviews

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore87¢ All15/19 79% Interviews5/6 83% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All16/18 89% Interviews1/3 33% small n Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All11/23 48% Interviews2/5 40% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/15 7% Interviews1/4 25% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All17/27 63% Interviews4/7 57% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/17 18% Interviews1/4 25% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All9/12 75% Interviews3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/8 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/2 50% Interviews1/2 50% small n Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All12/12 100% Interviews3/3 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/15 27% Interviews1/4 25% small n N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All6/6 100% Interviews2/2 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All11/21 52% Interviews3/5 60% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All22/25 88% Interviews3/6 50% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All10/22 45% Interviews3/5 60% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All1/8 13% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All10/12 83% Interviews5/5 100% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All14/15 93% Interviews4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Bernie Sanders must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker