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Bernie holds a rally in Los Angeles

What will Bernie Sanders say during his Los Angeles rally?

Held

Wed, Feb 18

10:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

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Also now Trump +2 later

16 said 12 not said of 28 words

Not held 1 of 11 past Bernie Sanders events, 1 of 6 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All3/3 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All2/2 100% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All1/4 25% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All7/7 100% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/5 40% Rallies1/2 50% small n N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All8/10 80% Rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/7 0% Rallies0/4 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All2/2 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/3 67% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/5 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All1/2 50% Rallies1/2 50% small n N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/2 100% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All6/7 86% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Rallies— —
NO Before startBefore— All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore87¢ All0/1 0% Rallies— N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All2/3 67% Rallies2/3 67% small n Y N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/5 20% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore97¢ All5/6 83% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All3/4 75% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of LIVE from Los Angeles: Billionaire Tax Now, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the LIVE from Los Angeles: Billionaire Tax Now will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the LIVE from Los Angeles: Billionaire Tax Now will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Cases

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