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Bernie holds Lansing Rally

What will Bernie say during his Lansing Rally?

Held

Sun, Jul 19

12:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

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Also now Trump +2 later

6 said 12 not said of 18 words

Not held 1 of 30 past Bernie Sanders events, 1 of 17 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore96¢ All12/13 92% Rallies11/11 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All11/18 61% Rallies8/12 67% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All1/10 10% Rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All10/19 53% Rallies5/12 42% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore89¢ All14/22 64% Rallies10/13 77% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All3/12 25% Rallies1/8 13% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All0/3 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All3/10 30% Rallies1/6 17% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All10/16 63% Rallies6/10 60% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All18/20 90% Rallies12/12 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All5/10 50% Rallies4/8 50% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All8/17 47% Rallies6/12 50% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All1/3 33% Rallies0/2 0% small n N Y N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All5/5 100% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All9/10 90% Rallies7/7 100% Y N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of The People v. The Powerful (Lansing, MI), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The People v. The Powerful (Lansing, MI) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The People v. The Powerful (Lansing, MI) will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. If Bernie Sanders is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker