mentions

Bernie speaks at Fighting Oligarchy rally in Houston

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston?

Held

Tue, Oct 20

4:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

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Also now Trump +2 later

12 said 14 not said of 26 words

Not held 2 of 47 past Bernie Sanders events, 2 of 30 rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All22/26 85% Rallies20/21 95% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All16/34 47% Rallies13/24 54% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore94¢ All6/6 100% Rallies6/6 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All1/24 4% Rallies0/16 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All3/9 33% Rallies3/9 33% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All18/31 58% Rallies13/24 54% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All25/38 66% Rallies17/25 68% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All6/26 23% Rallies4/19 21% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All31/33 94% Rallies22/23 96% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/4 75% Rallies3/4 75% small n Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All3/19 16% Rallies1/12 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All10/11 91% Rallies9/9 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore82¢ All11/15 73% Rallies9/12 75% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore79¢ All4/7 57% Rallies4/6 67% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore95¢ All19/32 59% Rallies14/22 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All25/35 71% Rallies18/24 75% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All10/23 43% Rallies9/20 45% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All13/32 41% Rallies9/24 38% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All8/8 100% Rallies8/8 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All2/18 11% Rallies1/14 7% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore86¢ All7/12 58% Rallies7/12 58% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All11/13 85% Rallies10/10 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All5/11 45% Rallies5/11 45% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All16/22 73% Rallies11/16 69% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker