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Mark Carney holds a NATO press conference

What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference?

Held

Wed, Jul 8

1:30 AM ET /

Carney

Press conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

4 said 8 not said of 12 words

Not held 0 of 20 past Carney events, 0 of 1 press conference

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Carney events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore31¢ All9/16 56% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All9/13 69% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All5/6 83% Press conferences— N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All4/9 44% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore31¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All4/14 29% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All4/8 50% Press conferences— N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore23¢ All6/16 38% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All4/19 21% Press conferences1/1 100% small n N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All— Press conferences— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity. If Mark Carney is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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