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Mark Carney delivers a homebuilding announcement

What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement?

Held

Wed, Jul 29

1:15 PM ET /

Carney

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

6 said 5 not said of 11 words

Not held 0 of 22 past Carney events, 0 of 15 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Carney events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore42¢ All10/15 67% Speeches / announcements4/9 44% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / announcements2/6 33% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore11¢ All0/11 0% Speeches / announcements0/7 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / announcements0/3 0% small n N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / announcements0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All8/12 67% Speeches / announcements5/8 63% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All5/16 31% Speeches / announcements3/11 27% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All7/18 39% Speeches / announcements6/12 50% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All6/6 100% Speeches / announcements5/5 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All5/21 24% Speeches / announcements2/15 13% N Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Carney events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Mark Carney must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Mark Carney says {word} as part of new measures to accelerate homebuilding in Alberta announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the new measures to accelerate homebuilding in Alberta announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the new measures to accelerate homebuilding in Alberta announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Mark Carney must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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