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Michigan Senate debate

What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate?

Held

Thu, Oct 8

7:00 PM ET /

Debate

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Adobe General Politics +2 later

12 said 10 not said of 22 words

Not held 0 of 3 past Debate events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Debate events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore89¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/1 0% N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore91¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All3/3 100% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore— All— —
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/2 50% Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All2/2 100% Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore97¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore88¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All2/3 67% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All2/3 67% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Debate events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Michigan U.S. Senate debate originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Michigan U.S. Senate debate originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Michigan U.S. Senate debate originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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