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Josh Shapiro joins Deadline: White House

What will Josh Shapiro say during MS NOW Deadline: White House?

Held

Tue, Aug 18

4:00 PM ET /

Generic Governor

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +3 later

4 said 9 not said of 13 words

Not held 0 of 20 past Generic Governor events, 0 of 2 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Generic Governor events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore25¢ All4/5 80% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All3/4 75% Interviews— Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All4/11 36% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore70¢ All0/4 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All2/4 50% Interviews— Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore71¢ All3/3 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All3/3 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All11/12 92% Interviews— Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All1/8 13% Interviews— N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All2/3 67% Interviews— N Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All5/7 71% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All7/9 78% Interviews1/2 50% small n N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All11/15 73% Interviews— N Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Generic Governor events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • The event will resolve based on Josh Shapiro speaking in an official capacity.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Josh Shapiro must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Josh Shapiro says {word} as part of MS NOW Deadline: White House, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the MS NOW Deadline: White House will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW Deadline: White House will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Josh Shapiro speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Josh Shapiro must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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