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Pete Hegseth holds a Pentagon Press Briefing

What will Pete Hegseth say during his press briefing?

Live for 1 h 14 min

8:00 AM ET /

Hegseth

Press conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
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15 said 4 open of 19 words

Prices as of 9:14 AM ET /

Not held 1 of 19 past Hegseth events, 1 of 10 press conferences Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 0¢ / 1¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Hegseth events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

Said 15
99¢ / 100¢ All8/14 57% Press conferences5/8 63% Y N Y Y N
99¢ / 100¢ All3/5 60% Press conferences3/5 60% Y N Y N Y
99¢ / 100¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
99¢ / 100¢ All1/7 14% Press conferences1/6 17% N N N N N
99¢ / 100¢ All6/11 55% Press conferences5/8 63% N N Y Y Y
99¢ / 100¢ All— Press conferences— —
99¢ / 100¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
99¢ / 100¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
99¢ / 100¢ All13/15 87% Press conferences6/6 100% Y N Y Y Y
99¢ / 100¢ All4/10 40% Press conferences3/7 43% N N Y Y N
99¢ / 100¢ All7/8 88% Press conferences6/7 86% Y Y Y Y Y
99¢ / 100¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— N
99¢ / 100¢ All— Press conferences— —
99¢ / 100¢ All— Press conferences— —
99¢ / 100¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
Open 4
0¢ / 13¢ All10/14 71% Press conferences8/8 100% N N N Y N
0¢ / 8¢ All3/11 27% Press conferences2/8 25% N N N Y N
0¢ / 5¢ All2/12 17% Press conferences2/8 25% N N N N N
0¢ / 2¢ All9/16 56% Press conferences7/8 88% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Hegseth events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
  • unbond was 99¢ during the event and fell back.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of Pentagon press briefing originally scheduled for November 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Pentagon press briefing originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Pentagon press briefing originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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