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Mamdani makes a childcare announcement

What will Mamdani say during his childcare announcement?

Held

Tue, May 19

10:30 AM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

2 said 14 not said of 16 words

Not held 3 of 91 past Zohran Mamdani events, 2 of 66 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All41/59 69% Speeches / ceremonies30/45 67% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore— All4/27 15% Speeches / ceremonies3/17 18% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All19/30 63% Speeches / ceremonies13/23 57% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All14/31 45% Speeches / ceremonies8/22 36% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All22/63 35% Speeches / ceremonies17/53 32% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All11/17 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/14 64% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All10/18 56% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore— All7/22 32% Speeches / ceremonies7/17 41% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All25/64 39% Speeches / ceremonies19/50 38% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All25/46 54% Speeches / ceremonies18/35 51% Y Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: NYC Mayors Office

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after May 19th, 2026 at 9:40 AM ET.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after May 19th, 2026 at 9:40 AM ET. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker