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Chris Wright joins CSIS

What will Chris Wright say during his critical minerals fireside chat?

Held

Fri, Sep 18

11:00 AM ET /

General Politics

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Hegseth Adobe +2 later

8 said 9 not said of 17 words

Not held 4 of 83 past General Politics events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All General Politics events Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore63¢ All18/34 53% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All16/33 48% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All5/10 50% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore44¢ All3/5 60% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All— —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All10/16 63% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All8/26 31% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All1/1 100% Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All— —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All3/14 21% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All22/30 73% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All0/1 0% N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past General Politics events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Chris Wright says {word} as part of CSIS The Future of U.S.–Africa Minerals Diplomacy originally scheduled for September 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the CSIS The Future of U.S.–Africa Minerals Diplomacy originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CSIS The Future of U.S.–Africa Minerals Diplomacy originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Chris Wright speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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