What will Trump say at University of Alabama Commencement?
Held
Time TBA
Trump
Speech / ceremony
Also now Trump +2 later
12 said 9 not said of 21 words
Not held 1 of 4 past Trump events, 0 of 1 speech / ceremony
Last 5: Said Not said Other format
In official transcripts said in 0 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 0 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 1 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 0 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
- Feb 4, 2025 The President's News Conference With Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel Press conference 1 time
…I recently signed an executive order combating the vile wave of anti-Semitism that we've seen in the aftermath of the October 7 attacks. Together…
Official spelling also counted: “anti-Semitism”.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 101 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 58 of 83 · 3.8 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 4 times
…gave us the worst inflation in the history of our country. In Biden's final year, the United States had the worst trade deficit ever recorded…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 18 times
…99.9 percent, which is a number that nobody thought was doable. Biden thought you had to go back to the legislature to get legislation…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 21 times
…in the last administration. Hundreds of thousands a month were pouring in. Biden had no control. Thank goodness he appointed a great border czar, right…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / ceremony | YES | — | — | 3.7k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 79 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 48 of 83 · 3.3 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 4 times
…administration. It was an economic disaster. It was a disaster at the border like nobody had ever seen before. And you probably see, we've closed…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 14 times
…weren't fact. In a few short weeks, we've achieved the most secure border in American history, by far— 99.9 percent, which is a number…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 20 times
…when you think about it. We're for common sense. We like strong borders. We like good education. We like low interest rates. We like being…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | What will Trump say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? | Interview | YES | — | — | 1.2k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 85 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 50 of 83 · 4.5 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 1 time
…American workers, and to build your factories here in America, not in China or any other country. And we're dealing with many, many countries right…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 8 times
…that— and I don't want this to happen, but I—know that China is doing very poorly right now. I just saw some reports coming…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 18 times
…a champion for workers in the White House. And instead of putting China first, I'm putting Michigan first, and I'm putting America first. Right? After…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | YES | — | — | 3.6k | past market |
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / ceremony | YES | — | — | 4k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 36 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 22 of 83 · 0.8 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 5 times
…have murderers and people from jail and, —I mean, for serious, serious crime. I remember the Biden people used to say, "No, these are aliens…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 4 times
…many of them criminals, many of them, frankly, murderers and people of crime at the absolute highest level. Real, real bad people. It would only…
- Apr 25, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Rome, Italy Other 1 time
…country. I mean, you want to see a country that will have crime? Let that happen, because it's really dangerous for our country, and I…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 0 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 0 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 15 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 11 of 83 · 0.2 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 1 time
…free speech. I ended all of the lawless so-called diversity, equity, and inclusion bullshit all across the entire Federal Government and the private sector…
- Apr 8, 2025 Remarks at a National Republican Congressional Committee Dinner Speech / ceremony 1 time
…past administration. On day one, we ended the so-called diversity, equity, and inclusion policies across the entire federal government, private sector, and it's just…
- Mar 27, 2025 Remarks During a Telerally for Florida Republican Congressional Candidate Randy Fine Tele-rally 1 time
…haven't seen in about 4 years, to be exact. We ended racist DEI programs and banned men from being in women's sports. We don't want…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 81 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 52 of 83 · 2.9 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 2 times
…leaders of all kinds but, in particular, business leaders. And since the election, the companies represented in this room have collectively announced more than $2…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 2 times
…of our country, and that's the basis under which we won the election. Core GDP—and this is—you know, you probably saw some numbers…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 11 times
…be on the liberal side, but they said it's the most important election. The November 5 that changed it all. You have to see. Wait…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 17 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 14 of 83 · 0.3 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 1 time
…of unelected bureaucrats stealing your paychecks, attacking your values, and trampling your freedoms, we are stopping their gravy train, ending their power trip, and telling…
- Apr 22, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Paul S. Atkins as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…was so respected. He—it was a role which he promoted economic freedom and represented the agency at the U.S.-EU Transatlantic Economic Council—highly…
- Apr 9, 2025 Remarks at a Photographic Opportunity With Automobile Racing Champions From NASCAR, IndyCar, and IMSA and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…long time. He received, a few years ago, the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the highest award in the country outside of the congressional Medal of…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 30 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 19 of 83 · 0.5 times on average
- Apr 22, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Paul S. Atkins as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…they're not doing that anymore. Yes. Well, we're not going to let Hamas do that, and we're going to see what happens with Gaza. But…
- Apr 18, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Mehmet Oz as Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…them once. They were broke, and they didn't have any money for Hamas. They didn't have any money for Hizballah. There wouldn't have been an…
- Apr 14, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Nayib Armando Bukele Ortez of El Salvador and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…You would have never had October 7 in Israel—the attack by Hamas—because Iran was broke. They were stone-cold broke when I was…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 55 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 33 of 83 · 1.2 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 1 time
…on American energy, pushed massive tax hikes, and gave us the worst inflation in the history of our country. In Biden's final year, the United…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 2 times
…And also having to do with finance. Look at what happened with inflation. We had the worst inflation, probably, in the history of our country…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 7 times
…much. Thank all the fellas. Thank them all. But we're ending the inflation nightmare, the worst that we've had probably in the history of our…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / ceremony | YES | — | — | 14.6k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 38 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 20 of 83 · 0.3 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks to the Michigan National Guard in Harrison Township, Michigan Speech / ceremony 1 time
…made—the Golden Dome. You know, other countries have it. In particular, Israel has it. And we have a much more advanced—and theirs is…
- Apr 18, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Mehmet Oz as Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…4 years. That's a war that should have never happened. October 7, Israel, would have never happened. Iran was broke. And now we'll see what…
- Apr 14, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Nayib Armando Bukele Ortez of El Salvador and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…You had no attacks. You would have never had October 7 in Israel—the attack by Hamas—because Iran was broke. They were stone-cold…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | NO | — | — | 11.2k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 8 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 5 of 83 · 0.2 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 3 times
…had no control. Thank goodness he appointed a great border czar, right? Kamala. Kamala. Kamala, she was a great candidate. She was fantastic. Joe Biden…
- Apr 11, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to West Palm Beach, Florida Other 1 time
…That's what the American people want, right? Biden refused to take it. Kamala refused to take it. I think most of them refused to take…
- Mar 6, 2025 Remarks at a Document Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…said, "You know, we have two people up there that Biden and Kamala left up there." And he knows it very well. I said, "Are…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | YES | — | — | 11.7k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 18 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 13 of 83 · 0.5 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 5 times
…had the worst trade deficit ever recorded, and we lost 106,000 manufacturing jobs. Other than that, he's done a fantastic job. But now all…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…like that. And that includes chip companies, car companies, every form of manufacturing, high-tech companies. Nobody's ever seen anything like it. So $8 trillion…
- Apr 8, 2025 Remarks at a National Republican Congressional Committee Dinner Speech / ceremony 3 times
…along with everybody, but we have to call people out. Six million manufacturing jobs were lost since NAFTA, when 21 million illegal aliens were brought…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | NO | — | — | 9.5k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 0 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 0 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 0 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 0 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 3 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 2 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
- Mar 24, 2025 Remarks Following a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 2 times
…And, Linda, as you know, the SBA is taking over her student loans, which is a lot of loans. It's a big job. And, Kelly…
- Mar 21, 2025 Remarks on Next Generation Air Dominance and Military Readiness and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 2 times
…Kelly Loeffler, who is terrific person, will handle all of the student loan portfolio. We have a portfolio that's very large, lots of loans—tens…
- Mar 7, 2025 Remarks on the Bureau of Labor Statistics Report on the Employment Situation in February and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…you. If I might, could—Will, could you talk about the student loan situation? And what are the consequences if they are not good? All…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 33 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 21 of 83 · 0.4 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / ceremony 1 time
…could it? But I want to congratulate you all on your incredible success and accomplishments. You've been amazing. You're the biggest and the best. So…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…much. Great job. And I think we're going to have some tremendous success for our country. And I don't know. It doesn't seem like a…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 3 times
…We beat, in the 4-year first administration—which was a tremendous success—we cut more regulations than any president in history, including two-term…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 1 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 1 of 83 · 0.0 times on average
- Feb 5, 2025 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Keeping Men Out of Women's Sports Speech / ceremony 1 time
…never been done. Second was Ronald Reagan, 56, right? Yes. And Tommy Tuberville, a great coach. You know, his quarterback was named Mahomes. He was…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 12 of 151 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 12 of 83 · 0.2 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / ceremony 2 times
…worst that we've had probably in the history of our country; getting woke lunacy and transgender insanity the hell out of our Government. We're stopping…
- Apr 9, 2025 Remarks at a Document Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…Columbia, we're holding back a lot of the schools because they were woke, and they've hurt a lot of people. Okay. Thank you. Okay. That's…
- Mar 4, 2025 Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress Speech / ceremony 2 times
…indeed, the private sector and our military. And our country will be woke no longer. We believe that whether you are a doctor, an accountant…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
No past events with this word yet.
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
- Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico
Standard rules for this series.
Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of the University of Alabama Class of 2025 Commencement Keynote Address, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the University of Alabama Class of 2025 Commencement Keynote Address will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the University of Alabama Class of 2025 Commencement Keynote Address will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
Cases
- Two events on one day: a word counted only inside its own event Confirmed Sep 22, 2026
- “Next White House livestream” meant the first stream on one channel after a set time Confirmed Aug 17, 2026
- “Electricity” did not count for “EV / Electric” Confirmed May 21, 2026