What will Trump say during the Trump-Carney Bilateral Meeting?
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Time TBA
Trump
Meeting
Also now JD Vance
0 said 15 open of 15 words
Not held 1 of 6 past Trump events, 0 of 1 meeting
Last 5: Said Not said Other format
In official transcripts said in 0 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 0 of 24 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 1.9k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 0 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 0 of 24 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 1.6k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 26 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 5 of 24 · 0.3 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / announcement 2 times
…side of his mouth, and he'd be sleeping within minutes. Carrying the aluminum chair—you know, the kind that's meant for old people and children…
- Apr 23, 2025 Remarks at an Executive Order Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 3 times
…maybe even better than even, because of the tariffs on cars and aluminum, and steel. We have tariffs 25 percent on cars, aluminum, and steel…
- Apr 22, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Paul S. Atkins as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 1 time
…industry—from autos. We're getting 25 percent for steel, 25 percent for aluminum, and we're getting the baseline of 10 percent. And think of it…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / announcement | NO | — | — | 4.4k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 82 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 15 of 24 · 3.2 times on average
- May 5, 2025 Remarks on the 2027 National Football League Draft and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 2 times
…millions, illegally, into our country. They just flowed in through an open border policy that was insane. And what we've done is, we've offered—you…
- May 1, 2025 Commencement Address at the University of Alabama in Tuscaloosa, Alabama Speech / announcement 6 times
…the election. We've turned the page on endless wars, crippling debt, open borders, ruinous inflation, and the lack of respect for our country and for…
- May 1, 2025 Remarks on the National Day of Prayer Speech / announcement 2 times
…poorly, as you know. Millions and millions of people pouring into our borders from—from jails and mental institutions and gang members. It was terrible…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 9.3k | past market |
| May 1, 2025 | What will Trump say at University of Alabama Commencement? | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 15.2k | past market |
| Apr 30, 2025 | What will Trump say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? | Interview | YES | — | — | 1.2k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 114 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 22 of 24 · 9.6 times on average
- May 5, 2025 Remarks at a Document Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 1 time
…you very—thank them for me. That's very nice. It's a big deal. Could have been that we wouldn't have had the problem we had…
- May 5, 2025 Remarks on the 2027 National Football League Draft and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 6 times
…but even for the country because it's, to me, a very big deal. I'd like to thank NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell; Washington Commanders owner Josh…
- May 4, 2025 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Other 14 times
…It's not a mistake, or not a mistake. It's not a big deal. He was fine. And where he is, he'll do a good job…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | YES | — | — | 2.9k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 19 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 4 of 24 · 0.5 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / announcement 4 times
…I learned a lot. Number one, I learned we need double the electricity that we have right now for the whole country. And, really, more…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 3 times
…going to build their own electric. They're going to build their own electricity, which they need tremendous amounts of electricity. They're going to build it…
- Apr 17, 2025 Remarks at a Document Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 4 times
…leading China by a lot, by tremendous amounts. We're going to supply electricity at levels never supplied before. They're going to build their own electric…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 1.6k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 24 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 3 of 24 · 0.5 times on average
- May 4, 2025 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Other 2 times
…and destroying our people. We've lost 300,000 people last year to fentanyl and drugs. They're bad news. Yes, that's true. If Mexico wanted help…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / announcement 1 time
…Canada and China big tariffs because of the fact that they've allowed fentanyl to come in and poison our country. They're paying a lot of…
- Apr 23, 2025 Remarks at an Executive Order Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 3 times
…it's 145 percent. That's very high. It got there because of the fentanyl. They're sending, you know, massive amounts of fentanyl into our country and…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 3.6k | past market |
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | YES | — | — | 7.3k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 14 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 3 of 24 · 0.3 times on average
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / announcement 3 times
…It's all just kicking off. And week by week, we're ending illegal immigration. We're taking back our jobs and protecting our great American autoworkers and…
- Apr 18, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Mehmet Oz as Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 1 time
…the biggest reason was because of the border and because of illegal immigration, and the people of this country want those people out. Because what…
- Apr 17, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni of Italy and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 5 times
…lot of problems, and a lot of it's having to do with immigration. And I'm not a big fan of Europe and what they've done…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 5.8k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 37 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 7 of 24 · 0.9 times on average
- Apr 7, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…not going to be that way. It's got to be fair and reciprocal. It's got to be fair. It's not fair. We have a deficit…
- Apr 3, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Miami, Florida Other 1 time
…set of tariffs, based on what they have been charging us, that's reciprocal. And those tariffs have come in, and many—every country has called…
- Apr 2, 2025 Remarks Announcing Additional United States Tariff Actions on Foreign Imports Speech / announcement 10 times
…In a few moments, I will sign a historic Executive order instituting reciprocal tariffs on countries throughout the world. "Reciprocal"—that means they do to…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 5.9k | past market |
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | NO | — | — | 7.4k | past market |
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 15.2k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 4 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 2 of 24 · 0.1 times on average
- Apr 10, 2025 Remarks During a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…very tough, but they were very smart. They were ready to announce retaliation, and then they heard about what we did with respect to China…
- Mar 3, 2025 Remarks on Semiconductor Manufacturing Investment and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 2 times
…their currency. It depends on what they do in terms of a retaliation with some kind of an economic retaliation, which I don't think they're…
- Feb 26, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…everybody wants. And they can retaliate, but it cannot be a successful retaliation, because we just go cold turkey. We don't buy anymore. And if…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
No past events with this word yet.
In official transcripts said in 4 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 0 of 24 · 0.0 times on average
- Mar 24, 2025 Remarks at a Greek Independence Day Reception Speech / announcement 1 time
…Day, celebrating 204 years—that's right—celebrating 204 years of glorious Greek sovereignty and freedom. That's a long time. That's a great thing we're doing…
- Mar 4, 2025 Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress Speech / announcement 2 times
…so fast, you won't even believe it. And as we reclaim our sovereignty, we must also bring back law and order to our cities and…
- Feb 4, 2025 The President's News Conference With Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel Press conference 1 time
…nearby, and it was—it's something that's very special. And recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, something that they talked about for 70 years…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 1.1k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 42 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 7 of 24 · 1.1 times on average
- May 1, 2025 Commencement Address at the University of Alabama in Tuscaloosa, Alabama Speech / announcement 2 times
…apply your great skills that you've learned and had to forging the steel and pouring the concrete of new American factories, plants, shipyards, and even…
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks on Domestic Business Investment Speech / announcement 1 time
…José is investing $21 billion, including $5.8 billion for a new steel plant in Louisiana—which is a beauty; I saw a picture of…
- Apr 29, 2025 Remarks in Warren, Michigan Speech / announcement 5 times
…of our country, I've imposed 25-percent tariffs on foreign aluminum and steel. It's keeping our steel mills going. I did that. If I didn't…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | What will President Trump say during the Rose Garden tariff speech? | Speech / announcement | YES | — | — | 48.6k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 95 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 19 of 24 · 6.2 times on average
- May 4, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Palm Beach, Florida Other 2 times
…do that, and we're looking at it right now. Yes. The movie tariffs, what they've done is, other nations have been stealing the—the movies…
- May 4, 2025 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Other 3 times
…signing. I'm going to be setting the deal. I'll be setting a tariff. You keep asking the same question: "When will you agree?" It's up…
- May 1, 2025 Commencement Address at the University of Alabama in Tuscaloosa, Alabama Speech / announcement 3 times
…dollars. And it's all about November 5—the November 5 election and tariffs and incentives that we've given that are going to make this country…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | YES | — | — | 2.4k | past market |
| Apr 30, 2025 | What will Trump say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? | Interview | YES | — | — | 5.3k | past market |
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | YES | — | — | 4.6k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 0 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 0 of 24 · 0.0 times on average
Not said in any official transcript before this event.
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | NO | — | — | 535 | past market |
In official transcripts said in 4 of 157 transcripts · meetings: 1 of 24 · 0.0 times on average
- Apr 8, 2025 Remarks at a National Republican Congressional Committee Dinner Speech / announcement 1 time
…a bad deal terminated, but we did do it. And we got USMCA, and that's been really great. But when they cheat, it's not so…
- Apr 7, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…horrible thing, and we got it done. And we went to the USMCA, which was much better. The problem is they cheat. They cheat like…
- Mar 7, 2025 Remarks on the Bureau of Labor Statistics Report on the Employment Situation in February and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / announcement 1 time
…little bit of help? And I decided, you know, they're American companies, USMCA. And I—let them have that. But this really kicks in—the…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Oct 6, 2026 Search meetings before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Bilateral Meeting with Mark Carney? | Meeting | YES | — | — | 3.2k | past market |
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
- Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico
Standard rules for this series.
Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of the Trump-Carney Bilateral Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the Trump-Carney Bilateral Meeting will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Trump-Carney Bilateral Meeting will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
Cases
- Two events on one day: a word counted only inside its own event Confirmed Sep 22, 2026
- “Next White House livestream” meant the first stream on one channel after a set time Confirmed Aug 17, 2026
- “Electricity” did not count for “EV / Electric” Confirmed May 21, 2026