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What will Trump say during the Trade Announcement?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now +2 later

9 said 12 not said of 21 words

Not held 1 of 6 past Trump events, 0 of 2 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 89 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/89 15% —
YES Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/89 70% Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/89 58% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/89 45% N Y
YES Before startBefore— All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/89 62% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/89 26% Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies68/89 76% Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/89 38% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/89 24% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/89 1% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/89 2% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/89 21% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/89 21% Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/89 4% —
NO Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies32/89 36% Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/89 3% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/89 15% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/89 26% N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies46/89 52% —
YES Before startBefore— All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies52/89 58% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/89 10% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of the Trade Announcement originally scheduled for 10:00 AM ET in the Oval Office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Trade Announcement originally scheduled for 10:00 AM ET in the Oval Office will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Trade Announcement originally scheduled for 10:00 AM ET in the Oval Office will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.