What will Trump say during the Announcement?
Held
Time TBA
Trump
Speech / ceremony
Also now Trump +1 later
5 said 7 not said of 12 words
Not held 1 of 8 past Trump events, 0 of 3 speeches / ceremonies
Last 5: Said Not said Other format
In official transcripts said in 129 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 87 of 106 · 4.4 times on average
- May 19, 2025 Remarks at a Dinner for the Board of Trustees of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts Speech / ceremony 7 times
…It's not so good. I thought it was going to be this beautiful—I hadn't been there in a while. I said, this is going…
- May 19, 2025 Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Sacrifice and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 3 times
…they really devoted tremendous time and effort to helping us design this beautiful medal. And thank you very much, Alexandre—appreciate that you came—came…
- May 19, 2025 Remarks on Signing the Take It Down Act and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 4 times
…Elliston, where are you? Are you around? Stand up, darling. That's fine. Beautiful. That's great. Thank you. You look fantastic. Elliston quickly became a powerful…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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In official transcripts said in 2 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 2 of 106 · 0.0 times on average
- Feb 19, 2025 Remarks and a Question-and-Answer Session at the Future Investment Initiative Institute Priority Summit in Miami Beach, Florida Speech / ceremony 1 time
…version of Gettysburg, and you know what that means. It is just carnage. It's horrible. And you know, it's not American soldiers. It's not even…
- Jan 23, 2025 Remarks to the World Economic Forum and a Question-and-Answer Session With Business Leaders Speech / ceremony 1 time
…have to see—I've seen pictures of what's taken place. It's a carnage. And we really have to stop that war. That war is horrible…
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Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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In official transcripts said in 10 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 8 of 106 · 0.1 times on average
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 1 time
…light armored vehicles, amphibious combat vehicles, the MQ–9B—and the SkyGuardian drones. That's all the best stuff is, isn't it? If it isn't, please…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks in a Roundtable Meeting With Business Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters in Doha, Qatar Meeting 12 times
…with new systems. And we're coming up with a new system of drones, because drones are really—if you look at the war that's going…
- May 13, 2025 Remarks at the Saudi-United States Investment Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Speech / ceremony 1 time
…Houthis from the list of foreign terrorist organizations, even while missiles and drones were being launched right here at your beautiful city of Riyadh and…
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In official transcripts said in 10 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 7 of 106 · 0.2 times on average
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 2 times
…part of that effort, I signed an order to build the Golden Dome missile defense shield to protect our country from missile attack. Is everybody…
- May 12, 2025 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 4 times
…that nobody has ever seen before." It will pay for the Golden Dome. I see the Golden Dome is there. See. That will easily pay…
- May 9, 2025 Remarks at a Bill Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 2 times
…job, right? Crazy. Good. Thank you. It's an honor. There's the Golden Dome, by the way, if you're interested. There's the Golden Dome. It will…
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In official transcripts said in 16 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 13 of 106 · 0.2 times on average
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 1 time
…was speaking, and he really has it right on the peg. Pete Hegseth—he's going to be great. You're going to love this guy. You're…
- May 8, 2025 Remarks at a Celebration of Military Mothers and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…the way—Pam Bondi. Thank you, Pam. Thank you, Pam. And Secretary Hegseth's wonderful wife Jennifer. Jennifer. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, darling. And…
- May 1, 2025 Remarks on the National Day of Prayer Speech / ceremony 1 time
…Patrick? Thanks, as well, to the great people that are here. Pete Hegseth, who's doing a fantastic job. Pete, thank you. Marco Rubio, unbelievable. Unbelievable…
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Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | YES | — | — | 16.7k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 19 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 12 of 106 · 0.2 times on average
- May 15, 2025 Remarks in a Roundtable Meeting With Business Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters in Doha, Qatar Meeting 2 times
…of the world. But we were asked to stop firing at the Houthis, and that's something that they've never asked, because they're tough, and they're…
- May 13, 2025 Remarks at the Saudi-United States Investment Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Speech / ceremony 3 times
…in the history of the Middle East. Horrible day. Biden removed the Houthis from the list of foreign terrorist organizations, even while missiles and drones…
- May 12, 2025 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 2 times
…on that. We also, as you know, created a situation where the Houthis, for the first time ever, have ceased firing, and they've let it…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Press Conference with RFK? | Press conference | YES | — | — | 1.8k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 44 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 25 of 106 · 0.3 times on average
- May 19, 2025 Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Sacrifice and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…And October 7 would have never happened either. That's the attack on Israel. That would have never happened. So sad. A lot of things wouldn't…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 1 time
…you think of it, Russia-Ukraine would have never started. October 7, Israel, would have never happened, because Iran, as you know, was broke. They…
- May 14, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Doha, Qatar Other 2 times
…didn't come up. No, not at all. No. This is good for Israel. Having a relationship like I have with these countries, the Middle Eastern…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
| Date | Event | Format | Result | Low 24h before | In-event low | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | What will Trump say during his Press Conference with RFK? | Press conference | NO | — | — | 5.4k | past market |
| May 1, 2025 | What will Trump say at University of Alabama Commencement? | Speech / ceremony | NO | — | — | 2k | past market |
| Apr 29, 2025 | What will Trump say at the Macomb County Rally? | Rally | NO | — | — | 11.2k | past market |
In official transcripts said in 24 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 12 of 106 · 0.2 times on average
- May 16, 2025 Remarks During a Tour of the U.S.-U.A.E. Investment Exhibit and an Exchange With Reporters in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Speech / ceremony 2 times
…for cars? Engines. That's fantastic. Please. You do the Patriot? The Patriot missile here. Go ahead. How much aluminum is used in the Patriot missile…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 5 times
…equipment. Nobody has equipment like us. Nobody has the planes or the missiles or anything else. And as your Commander in Chief, I'm here to…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks in a Roundtable Meeting With Business Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters in Doha, Qatar Meeting 1 time
…anybody, but we make the greatest planes in the world, the greatest missiles and defense systems. The Patriot system is the best—acknowledged to be…
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In official transcripts said in 53 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 33 of 106 · 1.1 times on average
- May 19, 2025 Remarks at a Dinner for the Board of Trustees of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts Speech / ceremony 4 times
…made to any place. There's never been anything like this. Hundreds of planes—big, wide-body planes ordered. Boeing. You know, getting them from Boeing…
- May 16, 2025 Remarks During a Tour of the U.S.-U.A.E. Investment Exhibit and an Exchange With Reporters in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Speech / ceremony 2 times
…right? Completely Boeings? It's just my opinion, but Boeing makes the best plane. And they've had some headaches over the last few years, but they…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks to United States Servicemembers at Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar Speech / ceremony 14 times
…have the best equipment. Nobody has equipment like us. Nobody has the planes or the missiles or anything else. And as your Commander in Chief…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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In official transcripts said in 14 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 9 of 106 · 0.2 times on average
- May 19, 2025 Remarks at a Dinner for the Board of Trustees of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts Speech / ceremony 1 time
…had a tremendous visit in the Middle East. We went to—saw Qatar, we saw the—Saudi Arabia—all the top, top people—and U.A.E…
- May 16, 2025 Remarks at a U.S.-U.A.E. Business Council Breakfast Roundtable in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Speech / ceremony 3 times
…of days. And you know, there's a great relationship with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and U.A.E. There's great friendships, I can tell you that. At the…
- May 15, 2025 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Other 1 time
…to abandon. We have very good friends in Saudi Arabia and in Qatar. So now we're going to U.A.E. We're going to be landing shortly…
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Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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In official transcripts said in 8 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 7 of 106 · 0.1 times on average
- May 6, 2025 Remarks During a Meeting of the White House Task Force on the FIFA World Cup 2026 Meeting 1 time
…why I appointed him. Together, this group will help plan the biggest, safest, and most extraordinary soccer tournament in history. And that's what it's going…
- May 1, 2025 Remarks on the National Day of Prayer Speech / ceremony 1 time
…Noem is here or Tom Homan—but yesterday we had the lowest, safest border in history: 99.999. In other words, three people got in…
- Apr 18, 2025 Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Mehmet Oz as Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and an Exchange With Reporters Speech / ceremony 1 time
…do that, and we're doing it in record fashion. We have the safest border, the most secure border we've ever had. See the Declaration of…
Official transcripts can spell a word differently from the market. Spellings on our list are counted too; other spellings are not.
Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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In official transcripts said in 9 of 186 transcripts · speeches / ceremonies: 3 of 106 · 0.1 times on average
- Apr 30, 2025 Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters Meeting 1 time
…And I congratulated him. You know, they—it was a very mixed signal, because it's almost even, which makes it very complicated for the country…
- Apr 25, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Rome, Italy Other 2 times
…had a, I hear, pretty good meeting. About what? I don't view Signal as—— I don't view Signal as important. I think it's fake news…
- Apr 21, 2025 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to the White House Easter Egg Roll Other 1 time
…the Armed Forces is fantastic. No, great confidence. Are you bringing up Signal again? I thought they gave that up 2 weeks ago. It's just…
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Newest official transcript: Sep 30, 2026 Search speeches / ceremonies before this event
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How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
- Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past events.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico
Standard rules for this series.
Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
Video of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
Cases
- Two events on one day: a word counted only inside its own event Confirmed Sep 22, 2026
- “Next White House livestream” meant the first stream on one channel after a set time Confirmed Aug 17, 2026
- “Electricity” did not count for “EV / Electric” Confirmed May 21, 2026