What will Trump say in September?
Held
Fri, Sep 5, 2:00 PM ET → Wed, Oct 1, 10:00 AM ET /
Trump
Month
Also now Trump +2 later
14 said 8 not said of 22 words
No past events of this speaker in our data yet.
How to read a row
- k/n: said in k of n past Trump months where the word was a market.
- Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
- small n fewer than 5 past months.
- Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
Rules
Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, PBS, the President of the United States, CBS, NBC, Bloomberg, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, The New York Times
No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.
Each market: If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
Cases
No cases for this series yet. Case library