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What will Trump say in November?

Held

Sat, Nov 1, 12:01 AM ET → Mon, Dec 1, 10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Month

Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

15 said 10 not said of 25 words

Not held 0 of 2 past Trump monthly windows

Word Result All Trump months Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO All— —
NO All1/1 100% Y
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
NO All1/1 100% Y
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All0/2 0% N N
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
NO All— —
YES All— —
YES All1/1 100% Y
NO All1/2 50% N Y
YES All1/1 100% Y
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All1/1 100% Y
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
NO All— —
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
NO All2/2 100% Y Y
NO All0/1 0% N
NO All— —
YES All— —
YES All1/1 100% Y
NO All0/1 0% N
YES All1/1 100% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump months where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past months.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, PBS, the President of the United States, CBS, NBC, Bloomberg, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, The New York Times

Ask AI about these rules

No other event of this series closed in the 60 days before this one, so there is nothing to compare these rules with.

Each market: If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.

Cases

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