mentions

Trump monthly

What will Trump say this month?

Held

Fri, May 1, 12:00 AM ET → Sun, May 31, midnight ET /

Trump

Month

Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

22 said 11 not said of 33 words

Not held 1 of 9 past Trump monthly windows

Word Result All Trump months Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES All6/7 86% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All8/8 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All7/8 88% Y Y Y Y N
YES All1/1 100% Y
YES All4/4 100% Y Y Y Y
NO All0/2 0% N N
NO All6/8 75% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All0/2 0% N N
YES All6/8 75% Y N Y Y N
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All0/1 0% N
YES All— —
NO All4/4 100% Y Y Y Y
YES All6/6 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All— —
NO All1/2 50% N Y
YES All1/1 100% Y
NO All3/7 43% N N N Y N
YES All8/8 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All1/1 100% Y
YES All— —
NO All6/7 86% N Y Y Y Y
YES All8/8 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All— —
NO All0/5 0% N N N N N
YES All1/1 100% Y
NO All1/6 17% N N Y N N
YES All5/6 83% Y N Y Y Y
NO All2/5 40% Y N N N Y
YES All6/7 86% Y Y N Y Y
YES All1/2 50% Y N
YES All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump months where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past months.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, PBS, the President of the United States, CBS, NBC, Bloomberg, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, The New York Times

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.

Cases

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