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Trump monthly

What will Trump say in October?

Held

Thu, Oct 1, 10:00 AM ET → Sat, Oct 31, midnight ET /

Trump

Month

Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

19 said 7 not said of 26 words

Not held 1 of 14 past Trump monthly windows

Word Result All Trump months Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES All— —
NO All2/2 100% Y Y
YES All10/12 83% Y Y Y N Y
YES All13/13 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All1/1 100% Y
YES All3/4 75% N Y Y Y
YES All1/1 100% Y
YES All— —
YES All7/13 54% N N N Y N
NO All11/13 85% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All3/3 100% Y Y Y
NO All— —
YES All7/9 78% Y N Y Y N
NO All1/7 14% N N N N N
YES All6/6 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All11/13 85% N N Y Y Y
NO All0/2 0% N N
YES All9/12 75% Y Y N Y N
NO All0/1 0% N
YES All13/13 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All5/5 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All4/11 36% Y N Y Y N
YES All11/12 92% Y Y Y Y Y
NO All2/7 29% N N N N Y
YES All7/7 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES All4/4 100% Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump months where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past months.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, PBS, the President of the United States, CBS, NBC, Bloomberg, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, The New York Times

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Grammatical/tense inflections.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
Grammatical/tense inflections.

Cases

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