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JD Vance speaks at Veterans’ Small Business Week

What will JD Vance say during his Veterans’ Small Business Week keynote?

Live for 43 min

10:15 AM ET /

JD Vance

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event

0 said 17 open of 17 words

Prices as of 10:58 AM ET /

Not held 4 of 82 past JD Vance events, 2 of 32 speeches / announcements Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 0¢ / 100¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All JD Vance events Speeches / announcements Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

Open 17
0¢ / 100¢ All21/38 55% Speeches / announcements3/7 43% Y Y N Y N
0¢ / 100¢ All32/55 58% Speeches / announcements13/18 72% Y Y Y N Y
0¢ / 100¢ All9/57 16% Speeches / announcements2/21 10% N Y N N N
0¢ / 100¢ All19/38 50% Speeches / announcements11/16 69% Y Y N Y Y
50¢ / 100¢ All12/32 38% Speeches / announcements6/11 55% N Y N N N
50¢ / 100¢ All33/51 65% Speeches / announcements12/15 80% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 100¢ All14/29 48% Speeches / announcements5/9 56% N N N Y N
0¢ / 100¢ All11/17 65% Speeches / announcements1/4 25% small n Y N Y N N
18¢ / 100¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
0¢ / 100¢ All19/42 45% Speeches / announcements4/12 33% N N Y Y Y
0¢ / 100¢ All9/39 23% Speeches / announcements4/16 25% N N N N N
0¢ / 100¢ All— Speeches / announcements— —
0¢ / 100¢ All11/29 38% Speeches / announcements2/11 18% N N Y Y Y
0¢ / 5¢ All51/72 71% Speeches / announcements20/27 74% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 5¢ All45/55 82% Speeches / announcements19/23 83% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 5¢ All5/13 38% Speeches / announcements— Y Y N Y N
0¢ / 5¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.
  • unbond was 99¢ during the event and fell back.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker