mentions

Bernie Sanders NYC Rally

What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?

Held

Sun, Apr 12

2:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 16 not said of 26 words

Not held 1 of 17 past Bernie Sanders events, 1 of 9 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore94¢ All5/7 71% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All4/4 100% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All3/6 50% Rallies2/4 50% small n Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All6/6 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/4 25% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All4/8 50% Rallies2/5 40% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All5/10 50% Rallies4/5 80% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore60¢ All1/3 33% Rallies1/2 50% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All13/15 87% Rallies7/8 88% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All2/6 33% Rallies1/3 33% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All1/4 25% Rallies1/2 50% small n N Y N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All— Rallies— —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/2 50% Rallies1/2 50% small n N Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All2/3 67% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All1/5 20% Rallies1/3 33% small n N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All3/4 75% Rallies1/2 50% small n N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All7/7 100% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/4 0% Rallies0/3 0% small n N N N N
YES Before startBefore26¢ All2/7 29% Rallies1/4 25% small n Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/6 0% Rallies0/4 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All3/3 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All2/2 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. If Bernie Sanders is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker