mentions

Bernie holds a rally in Ohio

What will Bernie say during his rally?

Held

Fri, May 1

6:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Rally

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Also now Trump +2 later

20 said 7 not said of 27 words

Not held 1 of 21 past Bernie Sanders events, 1 of 10 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore90¢ All7/11 64% Rallies4/5 80% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All5/6 83% Rallies5/5 100% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All4/4 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All5/9 56% Rallies3/5 60% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All7/8 88% Rallies4/4 100% small n N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All5/11 45% Rallies2/6 33% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All7/13 54% Rallies5/6 83% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All1/3 33% Rallies0/1 0% small n Y N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All2/5 40% Rallies2/3 67% small n N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All16/18 89% Rallies8/9 89% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/11 9% Rallies0/5 0% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All6/6 100% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All1/2 50% Rallies— N Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All3/4 75% Rallies1/2 50% small n Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All4/7 57% Rallies2/3 67% small n N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All1/3 33% Rallies— Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All8/10 80% Rallies5/5 100% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All0/1 0% Rallies— N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All3/8 38% Rallies1/4 25% small n Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All9/11 82% Rallies5/5 100% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore25¢ All3/8 38% Rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All4/4 100% Rallies4/4 100% small n Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All4/4 100% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore19¢ All3/3 100% Rallies2/2 100% small n Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here with Bernie Sanders in Parma Heights, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here with Bernie Sanders in Parma Heights will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here with Bernie Sanders in Parma Heights will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. If Bernie Sanders is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker