mentions

Bernie speaks in Alpena, Michigan

What will Bernie say during his remarks in Alpena, Michigan?

Held

Mon, Oct 26

1:00 PM ET /

Bernie Sanders

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

9 said 10 not said of 19 words

Not held 2 of 51 past Bernie Sanders events, 0 of 2 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Bernie Sanders events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All9/10 90% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All2/28 7% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All6/13 46% Speeches / ceremonies— N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All21/35 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All29/42 69% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All8/30 27% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore87¢ All7/8 88% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All5/23 22% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All14/15 93% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All13/19 68% Speeches / ceremonies— N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All29/39 74% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All11/27 41% Speeches / ceremonies— N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All14/36 39% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies— N N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All10/16 63% Speeches / ceremonies— Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore13¢ All16/26 62% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Bernie Sanders events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker