mentions

Mayor Mamdani Holds Press Conference to Make 2-K Announcement

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Held

Tue, Aug 4

9:45 AM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

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5 said 9 not said of 14 words

Not held 3 of 128 past Zohran Mamdani events, 2 of 97 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore79¢ All66/96 69% Speeches / ceremonies50/76 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All1/9 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All4/61 7% Speeches / ceremonies3/47 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All30/60 50% Speeches / ceremonies23/52 44% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All12/30 40% Speeches / ceremonies8/20 40% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All32/94 34% Speeches / ceremonies26/82 32% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All39/50 78% Speeches / ceremonies36/45 80% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All28/61 46% Speeches / ceremonies19/44 43% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All13/38 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/25 24% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All33/98 34% Speeches / ceremonies26/81 32% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All7/33 21% Speeches / ceremonies3/23 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All43/83 52% Speeches / ceremonies33/66 50% Y N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: NYC Mayors Office

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after August 03, 2026 07:00 PM.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after August 03, 2026 07:00 PM. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

These markets have other rules text: Governor / Hochul.

Cases

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