mentions

Mayor Mamdani Delivers America 250 Address

What will Mamdani say during his America 250 Address?

Held

Fri, Jul 3

10:00 AM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

4 said 17 not said of 21 words

Not held 3 of 115 past Zohran Mamdani events, 2 of 86 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore68¢ All55/83 66% Speeches / ceremonies41/65 63% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/18 17% Speeches / ceremonies3/18 17% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All4/48 8% Speeches / ceremonies3/36 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All27/48 56% Speeches / ceremonies21/41 51% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All10/19 53% Speeches / ceremonies6/11 55% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All26/81 32% Speeches / ceremonies21/71 30% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore38¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All30/38 79% Speeches / ceremonies28/34 82% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All6/23 26% Speeches / ceremonies3/15 20% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies5/23 22% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore22¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/18 6% Speeches / ceremonies0/10 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All1/19 5% Speeches / ceremonies1/19 5% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All29/85 34% Speeches / ceremonies23/70 33% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All42/59 71% Speeches / ceremonies33/47 70% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All7/20 35% Speeches / ceremonies3/12 25% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All35/70 50% Speeches / ceremonies27/55 49% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All4/19 21% Speeches / ceremonies3/15 20% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: NYC Mayors Office

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after July 1st, 2026 at 3:48 pm ET.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after July 1st, 2026 at 3:48 pm ET. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker