mentions

Mamdani makes an announcement

What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?

Held

Fri, Jan 16

2:00 PM ET /

Zohran Mamdani

Speech / ceremony

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4 said 10 not said of 14 words

Not held 0 of 25 past Zohran Mamdani events, 0 of 16 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Zohran Mamdani events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore76¢ All11/19 58% Speeches / ceremonies9/15 60% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All5/15 33% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All3/12 25% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All9/11 82% Speeches / ceremonies7/9 78% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All7/18 39% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore49¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/18 33% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Y N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Zohran Mamdani events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: NYC Mayors Office

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after January 16th, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after January 16th, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Cases

All cases of this speaker