mentions

White House Press Briefing

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

Held

Mon, Mar 30

1:00 PM ET /

Press Secretary

Press conference

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Also now Trump +2 later

15 said 20 not said of 35 words

Not held 2 of 53 past Press Secretary events, 2 of 53 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All Press Secretary events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore32¢ All8/12 67% Press conferences8/12 67% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore83¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All26/29 90% Press conferences26/29 90% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All25/31 81% Press conferences25/31 81% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All21/39 54% Press conferences21/39 54% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All0/15 0% Press conferences0/15 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All3/3 100% Press conferences3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All6/11 55% Press conferences6/11 55% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All5/6 83% Press conferences5/6 83% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All4/14 29% Press conferences4/14 29% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/3 100% Press conferences3/3 100% small n Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All2/2 100% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All15/18 83% Press conferences15/18 83% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All8/12 67% Press conferences8/12 67% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All18/30 60% Press conferences18/30 60% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All6/6 100% Press conferences6/6 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All2/4 50% Press conferences2/4 50% small n Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All1/4 25% Press conferences1/4 25% small n N N N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/12 8% Press conferences1/12 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All2/2 100% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All7/10 70% Press conferences7/10 70% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/14 7% Press conferences1/14 7% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/16 0% Press conferences0/16 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All4/14 29% Press conferences4/14 29% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All18/37 49% Press conferences18/37 49% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All9/24 38% Press conferences9/24 38% N N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Press Secretary events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: White House, White House Press Secretary

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If the White House Press Secretary says {word} at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

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