mentions

White House Press Briefing

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

Held

Wed, Mar 25

1:00 PM ET /

Press Secretary

Press conference

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Also now Trump +2 later

19 said 15 not said of 34 words

Not held 2 of 52 past Press Secretary events, 2 of 52 press conferences

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Press Secretary events Press conferences Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore40¢ All8/11 73% Press conferences8/11 73% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All25/28 89% Press conferences25/28 89% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All24/30 80% Press conferences24/30 80% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore47¢ All20/38 53% Press conferences20/38 53% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/14 0% Press conferences0/14 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All2/2 100% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All2/15 13% Press conferences2/15 13% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All6/10 60% Press conferences6/10 60% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All4/5 80% Press conferences4/5 80% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All4/13 31% Press conferences4/13 31% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All2/2 100% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All14/17 82% Press conferences14/17 82% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All7/11 64% Press conferences7/11 64% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All17/29 59% Press conferences17/29 59% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All5/5 100% Press conferences5/5 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/3 33% Press conferences1/3 33% small n N N Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/11 9% Press conferences1/11 9% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All— Press conferences— —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All6/9 67% Press conferences6/9 67% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/13 8% Press conferences1/13 8% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All0/15 0% Press conferences0/15 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All4/13 31% Press conferences4/13 31% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All18/36 50% Press conferences18/36 50% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— Press conferences— —
NO Before startBefore34¢ All9/23 39% Press conferences9/23 39% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore28¢ All— Press conferences— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Press Secretary events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: White House, White House Press Secretary

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
  • The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
  • The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity.
  • If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If the White House Press Secretary says {word} at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker