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9 said 17 not said of 26 words

Not held 2 of 18 past Trump events, 0 of 9 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 128 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/128 15% —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All8/9 89% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies81/128 63% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
YES Before startBefore68¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/128 13% Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/128 9% N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/128 2% N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/128 1% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/128 18% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies35/128 27% —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
YES Before startBefore23¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/128 1% —
YES Before startBefore54¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/128 22% Y N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/128 26% Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/128 27% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —
NO Before startBefore84¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/128 5% N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/128 2% —
YES Before startBefore55¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/128 8% Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/128 30% Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies49/128 38% Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/128 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • If the event does not occur before Jun 27, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of visit with the Foreign Ministers of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Republic of Rwanda in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the visit with the Foreign Ministers of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Republic of Rwanda in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 PM ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the visit with the Foreign Ministers of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Republic of Rwanda in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 PM ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Jun 27, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.