Remarks by President Trump: U.S. Army 250th Anniversary

What will Trump say during the U.S. Army 250th Anniversary Speech?

Held

Sat, Jun 14

9:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the 250th Anniversary of the U.S. Army Grand Military Parade and Celebration

Also now Trump +2 later

3 said 27 not said of 30 words

Not held 1 of 14 past Trump events, 0 of 7 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 120 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore61¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/120 17% N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All7/7 100% Speeches / ceremonies6/6 100% Official speeches / ceremonies76/120 63% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore79¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/120 13% Y Y
NO Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/120 7% —
NO Before startBefore51¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies67/120 56% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All6/6 100% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies70/120 58% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/120 3% —
NO Before startBefore66¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies56/120 47% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/120 3% —
NO Before startBefore84¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies11/120 9% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/120 38% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/120 24% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/120 3% —
NO Before startBefore75¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/120 23% —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/120 5% —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies65/120 54% —
NO Before startBefore78¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/120 9% —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/120 7% N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/120 13% —
NO Before startBefore43¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/120 2% Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/120 20% Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/120 31% —
NO Before startBefore70¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/120 4% —
NO Before startBefore67¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/120 1% —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies59/120 49% Y
NO Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/120 20% Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/120 13% N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies63/120 53% Y
NO Before startBefore93¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/120 6% —
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/120 10% N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • If the event does not occur before Dec 31, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of U.S. Army 250th Anniversary Speech, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the U.S. Army 250th Anniversary Speech will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the U.S. Army 250th Anniversary Speech will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Dec 31, 2025, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.

These markets have other rules text: Biden.