We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

What will Trump say during the Announcement?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Also now JD Vance +1 later

5 said 7 not said of 12 words

Not held 1 of 8 past Trump events, 0 of 3 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 106 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies87/106 82% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/106 2% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/106 8% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/106 7% —
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/106 12% Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/106 11% Y
YES Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/106 24% N N N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/106 11% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies33/106 31% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/106 8% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/106 7% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/106 3% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Trump says {word} as part of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement in the Oval Office originally scheduled for 3:00 pm ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.