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Trump delivers remarks at the Lincoln Memorial

What will Trump say during his remarks at the Lincoln Memorial?

Starts in 2 h 32 min

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

0 said 29 open of 29 words

Prices as of 11:27 AM ET /

Not held 27 of 374 past Trump events, 12 of 201 speeches / ceremoniesEvent does not qualify 1¢ / 3¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 403 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

85¢ / 89¢ All80/120 67% Speeches / ceremonies40/60 67% Official speeches / ceremonies199/403 49% N Y Y Y Y
15¢ / 88¢ All8/9 89% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/403 4% Y Y Y Y Y
81¢ / 87¢ All22/37 59% Speeches / ceremonies15/22 68% Official speeches / ceremonies186/403 46% N Y N Y Y
82¢ / 86¢ All27/45 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies70/403 17% Y Y Y Y Y
74¢ / 86¢ All46/92 50% Speeches / ceremonies28/52 54% Official speeches / ceremonies106/403 26% Y N N Y Y
72¢ / 82¢ All133/195 68% Speeches / ceremonies70/109 64% Official speeches / ceremonies214/403 53% Y Y N N N
47¢ / 81¢ All69/122 57% Speeches / ceremonies38/68 56% Official speeches / ceremonies148/403 37% N Y Y Y Y
68¢ / 81¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/403 1% —
65¢ / 76¢ All129/203 64% Speeches / ceremonies84/124 68% Official speeches / ceremonies219/403 54% N N N N N
73¢ / 76¢ All60/133 45% Speeches / ceremonies24/68 35% Official speeches / ceremonies88/403 22% Y Y Y Y Y
64¢ / 75¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies146/403 36% N Y Y N Y
47¢ / 66¢ All213/294 72% Speeches / ceremonies122/173 71% Official speeches / ceremonies253/403 63% Y Y N Y N
16¢ / 66¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies109/403 27% N N Y Y N
57¢ / 64¢ All5/15 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies54/403 13% N Y N Y Y
46¢ / 62¢ All75/110 68% Speeches / ceremonies40/57 70% Official speeches / ceremonies215/403 53% Y Y Y Y N
56¢ / 59¢ All22/61 36% Speeches / ceremonies17/49 35% Official speeches / ceremonies59/403 15% Y N N N Y
5¢ / 58¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/403 0% N
52¢ / 56¢ All88/172 51% Speeches / ceremonies48/97 49% Official speeches / ceremonies115/403 29% Y Y Y Y N
52¢ / 53¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/403 9% Y Y N N Y
26¢ / 50¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/403 1% N
32¢ / 50¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/403 8% —
21¢ / 23¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies25/403 6% Y N
15¢ / 18¢ All61/188 32% Speeches / ceremonies39/94 41% Official speeches / ceremonies123/403 31% N N N N N
7¢ / 15¢ All43/93 46% Speeches / ceremonies21/48 44% Official speeches / ceremonies89/403 22% N N N N N
10¢ / 14¢ All2/12 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% Y N N N N
10¢ / 12¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies43/403 11% N N N N N
8¢ / 11¢ All2/29 7% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies24/403 6% N N N N N
5¢ / 7¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/403 11% Y N
1¢ / 2¢ All9/250 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/135 5% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker