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Oval Office Announcement

What will Trump say during the Oval Office announcement?

Held

Thu, Oct 16

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Expanding Access to Fertility Care and In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

4 said 24 not said of 28 words

Not held 2 of 54 past Trump events, 0 of 31 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 191 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore83¢ All38/42 90% Speeches / ceremonies23/26 88% Official speeches / ceremonies128/191 67% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/191 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/191 16% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All17/20 85% Speeches / ceremonies13/16 81% Official speeches / ceremonies107/191 56% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/191 15% Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All11/15 73% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies91/191 48% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies58/191 30% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/191 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/191 0% —
NO Before startBefore45¢ All14/20 70% Speeches / ceremonies10/12 83% Official speeches / ceremonies61/191 32% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/191 19% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/191 15% Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies35/191 18% N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/191 6% Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies33/191 17% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/191 4% N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All5/8 63% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies46/191 24% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/191 0% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/191 4% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All7/13 54% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies17/191 9% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/191 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/191 0% —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All18/22 82% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies104/191 54% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/191 18% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies16/191 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/191 19% —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/191 27% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/13 23% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies25/191 13% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Oval Office announcement on October 16th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Oval Office announcement on October 16th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Oval Office announcement on October 16th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker