mentions

Trump Bilateral

What will Trump say during meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney?

Held

Tue, Oct 7

11:30 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

12 said 14 not said of 26 words

Not held 2 of 43 past Trump events, 0 of 4 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 63 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings2/63 3% —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All4/15 27% Meetings— Official meetings11/63 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All28/31 90% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings42/63 67% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All11/17 65% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings31/63 49% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All0/1 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings28/63 44% N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All2/5 40% Meetings— Official meetings5/63 8% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All2/3 67% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings11/63 17% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All6/8 75% Meetings— Official meetings27/63 43% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All2/4 50% Meetings— Official meetings25/63 40% Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings22/63 35% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings1/63 2% —
NO Before startBefore49¢ All1/3 33% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings4/63 6% N N Y
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings15/63 24% —
NO Before startBefore40¢ All3/5 60% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings17/63 27% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All7/10 70% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings9/63 14% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All0/3 0% Meetings— Official meetings4/63 6% N N N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings5/63 8% —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings3/63 5% —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings9/63 14% Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All2/4 50% Meetings— Official meetings3/63 5% Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All4/4 100% Meetings— Official meetings14/63 22% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All14/18 78% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings37/63 59% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All1/1 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings5/63 8% Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings2/63 3% —
YES Before startBefore42¢ All1/2 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings11/63 17% N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings2/63 3% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on October 7th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on October 7th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Bilateral meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on October 7th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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