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Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk

What will Trump say during the Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk?

Held

Tue, Oct 14

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Presenting Posthumously the Presidential Medal of Freedom to Turning Point U.S.A. Founder and Executive Director Charles J. Kirk

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

8 said 12 not said of 20 words

Not held 2 of 51 past Trump events, 0 of 29 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 189 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/189 3% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All35/39 90% Speeches / ceremonies21/24 88% Official speeches / ceremonies126/189 67% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All15/22 68% Speeches / ceremonies8/13 62% Official speeches / ceremonies103/189 54% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/189 19% Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/189 8% Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All10/12 83% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies91/189 48% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All9/12 75% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies108/189 57% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/189 16% Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/189 10% Y Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies48/189 25% Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All13/17 76% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies60/189 32% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/189 1% N N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/189 24% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies17/189 9% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/189 19% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/189 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies32/189 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/189 3% Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies25/189 13% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies51/189 27% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk on October 14th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk on October 14th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Medal of Freedom Ceremony for Charlie Kirk on October 14th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

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