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Charlie Kirk Memorial

What Will Trump say During The Charlie Kirk Memorial?

Held

Sun, Sep 21

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Memorial Service for Charles J. Kirk in Glendale, Arizona

Also now +1 later

20 said 6 not said of 26 words

Not held 2 of 36 past Trump events, 0 of 20 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 174 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/174 2% Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/174 2% —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies32/174 18% —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/174 3% —
YES Before startBefore68¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/174 7% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies82/174 47% Y N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies98/174 56% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies26/174 15% —
YES Before startBefore36¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/174 30% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/174 10% —
YES Before startBefore63¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/174 10% —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies50/174 29% N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/174 5% —
YES Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/174 4% —
YES Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/174 1% —
YES Before startBefore66¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies151/174 87% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies41/174 24% —
YES Before startBefore66¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies76/174 44% Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies30/174 17% —
YES Before startBefore55¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies27/174 16% —
YES Before startBefore60¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/174 18% N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/174 8% Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/174 16% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/174 2% —
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/174 3% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies18/174 10% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Charlie Kirk Memorial at State Farm Stadium on September 21st, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Charlie Kirk Memorial at State Farm Stadium on September 21st will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Charlie Kirk Memorial at State Farm Stadium on September 21st will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.