mentions

JD Vance speaks in Pennsylvania

What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Pennsylvania?

Held

Tue, Dec 16

10:00 AM ET /

JD Vance

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 9 not said of 20 words

Not held 0 of 9 past JD Vance events, 0 of 6 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore89¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N N Y N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore89¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n N Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks in Allentown Pennsylvania, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks in Allentown Pennsylvania will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the remarks in Allentown Pennsylvania will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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