mentions

JD Vance at Turning Point America Fest

What will JD Vance say during the Turning Point America Fest?

Held

Sun, Dec 21

11:30 AM ET /

JD Vance

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

7 said 11 not said of 18 words

Not held 0 of 10 past JD Vance events, 0 of 7 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Speeches / ceremonies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore79¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All7/8 88% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— —
YES Before startBefore67¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n N Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n N N N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Turning Point America Fest 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Turning Point America Fest 2025 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Turning Point America Fest 2025 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Cases

All cases of this speaker