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JD Vance joins Special Report

What will JD Vance say during his Fox News interview?

Held

Mon, Apr 13

6:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

12 said 7 not said of 19 words

Not held 0 of 24 past JD Vance events, 0 of 6 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore53¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All3/6 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All11/14 79% Interviews3/3 100% small n N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All4/7 57% Interviews0/2 0% small n N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All1/3 33% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore45¢ All1/5 20% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore63¢ All1/3 33% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore45¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore22¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All— Interviews— —
YES Before startBefore38¢ All3/7 43% Interviews2/2 100% small n N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: Special Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker