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JD Vance holds Fraud task force meeting

What will JD Vance say during his Fraud Meeting?

Held

Fri, Mar 27

10:00 AM ET /

JD Vance

Meeting

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

5 said 15 not said of 20 words

Not held 0 of 20 past JD Vance events, 0 of 1 meeting

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Meetings Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore50¢ All1/2 50% Meetings— N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/7 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n N N N N N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All— Meetings— —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All14/17 82% Meetings1/1 100% small n N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All5/6 83% Meetings— Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore91¢ All4/4 100% Meetings— Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All— Meetings— —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Meetings— —
NO Before startBefore51¢ All4/11 36% Meetings— Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All1/2 50% Meetings— N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— Meetings— —
YES Before startBefore96¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— N Y Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— Meetings— —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Meetings— —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All3/5 60% Meetings— N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All4/5 80% Meetings— N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— Y Y N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Meetings— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
  • If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker