mentions

JD Vance speaks at Critical Minerals Summit

What will JD Vance say during the Critical Minerals Ministerial?

Held

Wed, Feb 4

9:00 AM ET /

JD Vance

Meeting

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Also now Trump +2 later

5 said 9 not said of 14 words

Not held 0 of 15 past JD Vance events

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Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Meetings Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All5/8 63% Meetings— Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/5 0% Meetings— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All2/10 20% Meetings— N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All11/12 92% Meetings— Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All2/9 22% Meetings— Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All6/7 86% Meetings— Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Meetings— Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/5 80% Meetings— Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Meetings— Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/4 25% Meetings— N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Meetings— N
YES Before startBefore— All3/10 30% Meetings— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Meetings— N N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Critical Minerals Ministerial, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Critical Minerals Ministerial will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Critical Minerals Ministerial will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Cases

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