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Trump Press Conference

What will Trump say during the Press Conference?

Held

Wed, Oct 15

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Press conference

Official transcript The President's News Conference

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

11 said 14 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 52 past Trump events, 2 of 9 press conferences

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Press conferences Official press conferences · 10 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore63¢ All2/7 29% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences0/10 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All36/40 90% Press conferences5/6 83% Official press conferences8/10 80% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences3/10 30% —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/5 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All10/13 77% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences3/10 30% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences6/10 60% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/10 40% Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All13/18 72% Press conferences1/3 33% small n Official press conferences4/10 40% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore79¢ All0/4 0% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences2/10 20% N N N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/10 20% Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences1/10 10% —
YES Before startBefore54¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All4/9 44% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences1/10 10% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/4 25% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% N N N Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All3/6 50% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences0/10 0% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All4/6 67% Press conferences— Official press conferences3/10 30% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All2/4 50% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All6/11 55% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences0/10 0% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All3/6 50% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences3/10 30% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences0/10 0% —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All3/11 27% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences1/10 10% N Y N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official press conferences: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Press Conference on October 15th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Press Conference on October 15th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Press Conference on October 15th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker