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Trump holds Medal Presentation

What will Trump say during the Honors Medal Presentation?

Held

Sat, Dec 6

5:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Presenting the 2025 Kennedy Center Honoree Medals

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

2 said 18 not said of 20 words

Not held 8 of 104 past Trump events, 4 of 58 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 227 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore33¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies54/227 24% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies17/227 7% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore74¢ All71/85 84% Speeches / ceremonies40/48 83% Official speeches / ceremonies147/227 65% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/227 3% N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All41/54 76% Speeches / ceremonies28/36 78% Official speeches / ceremonies124/227 55% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies68/227 30% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All2/31 6% Speeches / ceremonies2/17 12% Official speeches / ceremonies12/227 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All31/42 74% Speeches / ceremonies18/25 72% Official speeches / ceremonies112/227 49% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All12/20 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies73/227 32% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/227 7% N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All37/62 60% Speeches / ceremonies26/34 76% Official speeches / ceremonies80/227 35% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All18/35 51% Speeches / ceremonies12/18 67% Official speeches / ceremonies85/227 37% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies30/227 13% N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All13/15 87% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies78/227 34% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies54/227 24% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/227 0% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/227 2% N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All43/56 77% Speeches / ceremonies25/30 83% Official speeches / ceremonies124/227 55% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All3/18 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/11 9% Official speeches / ceremonies28/227 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/227 15% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Kennedy Center Honors Medal Presentation will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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